Just weeks into the fall season, chilly temperatures have Southern Tier residents thinking about the winter months ahead. While residents can expect the air to get colder and trees to be dusted with snow, this year’s winter weather may be moderate.
The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center expects an above-average chance of warmer temperatures throughout the winter months, as well as an above-average chance of more precipitation.
La Niña conditions — periodic cooling of ocean surface temperatures in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific — are expected throughout the United States, according to USA Today, with the country having a 70% chance of these conditions and a 40% chance that the conditions will be moderate.
Farmer’s Almanac winter predictions for New York
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Because of La Niña, the Farmer’s Almanac predicts this winter to be “wet and cold for most locations,” and is expected to have “rapid-fire storms that will bring both rain and snow, with little downtime in between.”
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The Farmer’s Almanac further predicts New York specifically could see above-normal amounts of precipitation and above-normal temperatures.
Here’s what all of this means for the Southern Tier’s winter weather predictions.
NOAA winter predictions for Binghamton
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From December 2024 to February 2025, the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center expects a 43% chance of above-normal temperatures for the Binghamton area.
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For the precipitation outlook, Binghamton residents can expect a 39% chance of above-normal precipitation in the area.
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NWS 2024-25 winter weather predictions for Binghamton, Southern Tier
National Weather Service in Binghamton meteorologist Mitchell Gaines said this winter is predicted to be similar to the ones Southern Tier residents have seen over the last couple of years.
Gaines explained that the overall, “general theme,” of the 2024-25 winter is expected to be “warmer and wetter,” but emphasized that this does not mean residents will not see heavy winter conditions at times.
While snow storms and blizzards cannot be accurately predicted until about a week prior, most winter storms are forecasted to be “north and west,” of the Binghamton area, he said, and local residents will most likely see heavy rainfall more than snow.
Despite this, Gaines said residents should be prepared for winter conditions and “have a plan in place,” as there are events predicted to happen in the Binghamton area that show both snow and ice. Even mild winters, he said, can create serious winter weather conditions.
What were the winter conditions like from 2023-2024 in Binghamton?
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According to the National Weather Service’s Climatological Report, the highest temperature during last year’s winter season was a high of 64 degrees, recorded Feb. 27. The lowest temperature was 4 degrees, recorded in Jan. 17.
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Regarding precipitation — not snowfall — last year holds the record for greatest amount of precipitation, with a total of 12.27 inches, holding a daily average of 0.13 inches, and the greatest amount of precipitation seen in a 24-hour period was 2.37 inches from Dec. 17-18, 2023.
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Regarding snowfall, last year’s winter season totaled 36.4 inches of snowfall, with 51 days seeing greater than a trace amount of snow and 10 days seeing greater than one inch of snow. The largest amount of snow seen in a 24-hour period last year was 7.3 inches on Jan. 6-7.
This article originally appeared on Binghamton Press & Sun-Bulletin: Winter weather in NY: What Binghamton can expect in 2024-25
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