How much snow will upstate NY get this week? Winter weather on the way

Break out the winter gear—accumulating snow could arrive south of Rochester later this week, according to the National Weather Service in Buffalo.

With a large, slow-moving storm expected to move across the Great Lakes later this week, rain is expected to douse the region Wednesday and Thursday before potentially shifting to snow in some areas Thursday night into Friday, according to the Weather Service. Higher terrain areas south of Rochester – including the Bristol Hills area and the Southern Tier – could see its first coating of measurable snow, said Weather Service Meteorologist Bob Hamilton.

“It’s long overdue,” he said.

Rochester is not currently expected to see accumulating snow, he said, but may see some flakes flying in the air overnight, Thursday into Friday. The storm, he warned, is still several days out so the forecast could change, as it has already.

How much snow will fall in New York?

Late last week, the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center forecasted a powerful storm, predicted to sweep northeastward, bringing cold temperatures and potentially some lake effect snow to the upstate New York later this week.

Currently, the Weather Service is predicting mostly rain in that timeframe for the usual lake effect snow spots south of Lake Ontario, including in Syracuse. Buffalo could see some flakes flying Thursday through Sunday, according to the forecast.

Dry conditions expected through Tuesday afternoon, followed by beneficial rain through the weekend. This will bring relief to the area currently classified as Abnormally Dry on the drought monitor. A mix with or change over to snow will be possible at times, later in the week. pic.twitter.com/B6c3XebZWd

— NWS Buffalo (@NWSBUFFALO) November 18, 2024

Parts of the Adirondacks may see a few inches of snow Thursday into Friday, said Weather Service Meteorologist Steve Welch, “but there’s still so much uncertainty” with the storm system as is moves, develops and continues to alter the forecast.

To date, its been a rather mild November in New York. In Rochester, for example, this week has a predicted normal high in the mid-40s and the daily high this month to date has ranged from 46 degrees on Nov. 12 and 13 to a record-setting 81 degrees on Nov. 5. The highs are predicted to return to closer to normal – in the low to mid 40s, he said.

This article originally appeared on Rochester Democrat and Chronicle: How much snow will upstate NY get this week? Winter weather on the way

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