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Christmas lockdown: The key stats that need to drop to avoid restrictions

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The National Public Health Emergency Team have provided their latest advice to the Government.

And though they are yet to advise on a potential Christmas lockdown, they are keeping tabs on the dangerous rise in how the virus is acting in Ireland.

Tanaiste Leo Varadkar has said that Covid cases have started to plateau, but that he would hope to see them decrease before Christmas.

The Tanaiste didn’t rule out the possibility of further measures being introduced before the festive holidays.

But what are NPHET looking at when making these decisions.

There are three key indicators.

Case numbers

This is one we know that NPHET have been worried about.

The fourth wave, which has been sweeping through Ireland since June, is starting to rise once more.

Dr Tony Holohan has said he is “concerned” about the spike of cases.

October 4 saw an increase in daily numbers by 892.

By October 20, that number was 5,959.

8,000 children tested positive in the week up to last Saturday – leading NPHET to advise on school children to wear masks.

Things need to take a turn in order to avoid further restrictions.

Hospitalisations and ICU

While the number of people in hospital is far fewer than the peak of January, things are still not looking too good at the moment.

At one point this month, the number was as low as 444, but on Monday morning, there were 685 cases in hospital.

In terms of the intensive care unit, the number of patients has been steadily rising throughout November.

On November 6, there were 74 patients in the ICU with Covid – as of Thursday, there were 126.

Should that rate continue to rise, hospitals could face serious pressure to try and cope.

The ICU issue has been raised in the Dáil on multiple occasions in recent days.



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