An area of low pressure off the coast of Florida still has a low chance for development before it moves inland, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.
The system could bring heavy rain to the Carolinas late this week and into the weekend
Elsewhere in the tropics, forecasters are monitoring five tropical waves.
AccuWeather forecasters are predicting the tropics should remain quiet for the next 10 to 14 days due to Saharan dust and strong wind shear in the Atlantic basin. Both tend to decrease the risk for storms to develop or strengthen.
“We’re in the doldrums of the season,” said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather lead hurricane expert. “There’s always the possibility, but we don’t see (another Beryl) happening.”
By the end of July, beginning of August, things could try to ramp up.
“We’re still expecting a very, very busy season,” DaSilva said. “Don’t let your guard down. Don’t be fooled by the quiet period. We’re at the very beginning of hurricane season. It will ramp up and it could ramp up very quickly.”
Colorado State University forecasters this week updated their prediction for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. The forecast calls for an “extremely active” season and raises the number of named storms and hurricanes to:
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Named storms: 25 (average is 14.4)
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Hurricanes: 12 (average is 7.2)
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Major hurricanes: 6 (average is 3.2)
The next storm of the season will be Debby.
Here’s the latest update from the NHC as of 8 a.m. July 11:
What is NOAA tracking in Atlantic basin?
Low pressure system off Florida: A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions do not appear favorable for much additional development of this system over the next day or two before it moves inland over the southeastern U.S. by this weekend.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will be possible for portions of the Carolina coast late this week into the weekend.
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Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 10 percent.
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Formation chance through 7 days: low, 10 percent.
Elsewhere in the tropics, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring:
Tropical wave 1: A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is moving west at 11 to 17 mph.
Tropical wave 2: Another tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is moving west at 11 mph.
Tropical wave 3: A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is moving west at 11 mph.
Tropical wave 4: Another tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles. It’s moving west at 11 to 17 mph.
Tropical wave 5: A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is moving west at 11 to 17 mph.
Who is likely to be impacted?
The National Hurricane Center said the system of low pressure off the southeast coast could bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Carolina coast late this week into the weekend.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared. That advice is particularly important for what is expected to be a very active hurricane season.
Weather watches and warnings issued in Florida
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
When is the peak of hurricane season?
The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
National Hurricane Center map: What are forecasters watching now?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:
Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city
Excessive rainfall forecast
What’s next?
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This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: NHC tracking tropical disturbance off Florida, 5 tropical waves
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