If one of the chief goals of Donald Trump’s early 2024 presidential campaign announcement was to clear the field, it may have had the opposite effect.
But even if (as Mick Jagger would put it in the former president’s favorite outro song at rallies) you can’t always get what you want, Trump might find that a crowded field is just what he needs.
“I think we’re gonna have 20 people again,” a member of the Republican National Committee told The Daily Beast, requesting anonymity to discuss internal conversations about the 2024 primary.
Their estimate of 20 to 21 candidates came from a recent preliminary meeting on the primary debate schedule.
In Trumpworld, rather than a problem, the notion of a 2016-sized field is looking awfully enticing, even as the man who remade the GOP in his image has experienced a steady drop in support among Republicans going back to before the midterms.
“Depending on which poll strikes your fancy, up to 45 percent of likely Republican primary voters back President Trump… Any way you slice it, Trump would have to be favored to win a primary with four or more candidates,” a source close to Trump told The Daily Beast. “With a dozen-plus, like the 2016 primary, he would be unbeatable.”
From the past week alone, it’s looking like open season.
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, one of the 16 GOP candidates Trump vanquished in 2016, sat at the most openly critical end of the spectrum, calling for a “family argument” the party needs to conduct in the open.
“We keep losing and losing and losing,” Christie said at the Republican Jewish Coalition meeting in Las Vegas. “And the fact of the matter is the reason we’re losing is because Donald Trump has put himself before everybody else.”
Then there were former Trump administration officials Nikki Haley and Mike Pompeo, who didn’t take on Trump directly but clearly signaled they’re ready for a primary run. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis made his “scoreboard” comments at a press conference last week and also spoke at the RJC event, where he talked about bringing back water from the Sea of Galilee in Israel to baptize his kids with it.
Other GOP figures like New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu have already said they want to avoid a 2016-esque scenario of a prolonged primary with a split field preventing anyone from commanding an outright majority. Sununu told The Washington Post in Vegas he would personally ensure straggling candidates throw in the towel early, while also not ruling out a run of his own.
“I don’t think Trump’s gonna command the 2024 field, I don’t think he can recreate that,” the RNC member said, adding that the House and Senate defeats for the party in New Hampshire among Trump-endorsed candidates should indicate a sea change from his 2016 primary victory.
“All three of them were Trump people and all three of them lost. I hope that’s the handwriting on the wall,” this RNC member said, referring to the GOP candidates in New Hampshire for Senate and two House seats. “I don’t think Trump’s grip here is as large as it was.”
Another GOP strategist said a crowded field could only benefit Trump, citing many of the same ingredients from 2016.
“The political landscape is very similar to 2016. The establishment donors, ‘Never Trump’ media and political consultants are lining up against him yet again. A crowded field benefits Trump, who is already the clear frontrunner,” the strategist told The Daily Beast, also requesting anonymity to discuss internal deliberations over how to approach the primary.
Yet even in otherwise reliably MAGA corners of the party infrastructure, trepidations over Trump’s announcement in light of the midterms results have been bubbling to the surface, according to the RNC member.
“There’s some thought out there that he will crash and burn before the primary,” they said. “I think people are tired of him. I’ve had a lot of calls from people who consider themselves Trumpers, but they don’t think he should do it again.”
He’s here anyway, and for the ride-or-die Republicans who have hitched their wagons to Trump, the message is clear: Come on in, the water is warm.
“Nobody loves a presidential primary more than Republicans, and we will have a wide range of candidates to choose from, just like 2016,” the person close to Trump said. “That’s healthy and strengthens our party. And like most Trump supporters, I say the more the merrier.”
Reporter's Notes: Shooting Inflation Superimposes Epidemic Xinhua News Agency, Washington, November 23 Reporter's Notes: Shooting Inflation Superimposes Epidemic in the United States This Thanksgiving is not easy Xinhua News Agency reporter Sun Ding Thanksgiving is coming up in America. However, the successive shooting incidents, the "high fever" inflation, and the imminent new wave of the new crown epidemic have cast a shadow over this traditional festival. Brianna Taylor, who works at a Wal-Mart supermarket in Chesapeake, Virginia, was on the night shift on the 22nd. She and her colleagues were discussing the division of labor in the break room, but a nightmare suddenly came. At about 10 o'clock that night, the night shift manager of the supermarket came to the lounge where Taylor and others were, and then opened fire. "I looked up and saw the manager open the door and shoot," Taylor recalled. "He didn't target anyone in particular, he just shot into the lounge, and I saw a lot of people fall to the ground either ducking or getting shot." Taylor narrowly escaped death, and the bullet was "only an inch or two (1 inch is about 2.54 centimeters)" from her. However, not everyone has such luck-the Chesapeake City Police reported on the 23rd that the shooting caused Six people were killed and four were injured. The gunman used a pistol to commit the attack and then shot himself. The motive for the crime is still unclear. U.S. President Joe Biden issued a statement on the 23rd saying that because of yet another horrific and cold-blooded act of violence, there will be empty seats at the Thanksgiving table for more families in the United States. Biden also talked about a "gun reform" bill he signed earlier this year, but stressed that "it's not enough" and that greater action must be taken. This is the second serious shooting incident in the United States in a few days. On the night of the 19th, a gunman attacked a nightclub in Colorado Springs, Colorado, killing 5 people and injuring 19 others. The latest data from the US website "Gun Violence File" shows that there have been 607 serious shooting incidents in the United States this year that caused at least 4 deaths and injuries, and nearly 40,000 people lost their lives due to gun violence. The epidemic continues to rage and social conflicts have intensified unprecedentedly, leading more and more people to choose to "own guns for self-protection". The two parties in the US Congress have sharp differences on the issue of gun control. The lobby groups representing the interests of gun manufacturers have strong political influence and other factors. As a result, the chronic problem of gun violence in the United States is hard to get rid of, and it is increasingly falling into a vicious circle. In addition to personal safety issues, many families in the United States have to frown on Thanksgiving food this year-due to inflation, supply chain problems and other reasons, the cost of Thanksgiving dinner has increased significantly. Take, for example, the almost essential turkey on the American Thanksgiving table. A survey released by the American Farm Federation last week showed that the price of a 16-pound turkey this year was 21 percent higher than last year, and frozen pie crust, whipped cream, beans and other items Some of the ingredients used to make traditional Thanksgiving meals are also more expensive than last year. Year-on-year inflation in the U.S. has remained stubbornly high, in the range of 7% to 9% over the past few months. In the 2022 U.S. midterm elections that just passed, inflation was the number one issue that voters were most concerned about. Under the pressure of inflation, many households in the United States have tight budgets and are more budget-conscious than in previous holiday seasons. Roger Kline, chief economist of the American Farmers Federation, analyzed that general inflation weakening the purchasing power of American consumers is also one of the important factors for the increase in the cost of Thanksgiving dinner this year. Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, will leave office next month. He attended the White House press conference for the last time a few days ago and left a suggestion: "This may be the last message I will pass on to you from this podium. The message…to protect yourself, your family and your community, please get the upgraded COVID-19 vaccine as soon as possible if you are eligible." Fauci said frankly that the sharp political and ideological differences in the United States have caused some people to refuse vaccination for reasons other than public health. "As a doctor, this makes me feel painful." If there is another "surge" of new crown cases in the United States this winter, those who are most at risk will be those who have never been vaccinated against the new crown. American public health experts have previously warned that the new crown epidemic in the United States may usher in a new wave of "surge" cases this autumn and winter. Not only must we be careful of the recent accelerated spread of new subtypes of the Omicron strain in the United States, but we also need to be vigilant against new crowns, influenza, etc. , Respiratory syncytial virus superimposed threat caused serious pressure on the medical system. William Schaffner, an infectious disease expert at Vanderbilt University in the United States, pointed out that holiday celebrations such as Thanksgiving and Christmas, as well as travel and close contact between people will usually become "accelerators" for the spread of the virus, because people spend a lot of time during the holidays. Spending time together creates an ideal environment for respiratory viruses to spread. In the United States, people celebrate Thanksgiving on the fourth Thursday in November every year. This year, with the continuous shooting, continued inflation and the threat of a new round of epidemics, the American people may not have a good Thanksgiving this year. (Editors in charge: Yu Yang, Cui Yue) Share for more people to see