When will the ‘bomb cyclone’ hit Southern California?

A “bomb cyclone” riding a long atmospheric river toward the West Coast is expected to bring more than a foot of rain to parts of Northern California and 30-foot waves to the Oregon coast, but the weather won’t be quite as catastrophic in and around Los Angeles, the latest forecast models show.

Right now, the “bomb cyclone” (a rapidly intensified storm system) is poised to hit the northern half of the Golden State starting Wednesday morning. The rain is being carried toward the California coast by an atmospheric river, which is essentially a long plume of moisture in the sky.

Atmospheric rivers can bring lots of rain to Southern California, but this one looks like it will stall out up north. So while it will dump rain there, we’ll be just on the “southern edge” of the system, Bryan Lewis, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service’s Oxnard/Los Angeles said.

“There is a chance for a little bit more significant rain, like over two inches in some areas. But it is a little different story (than in Northern California), and there is some uncertainty since we’re on that south edge of it,” Lewis explained.

The rain looks like it will arrive in the Los Angeles area late Friday into early Saturday morning, Lewis said.

The areas most likely to see rain are the mountainous areas of Southern California. Landslides and debris flows don’t look like a significant risk with this storm system, he explained, because it’s not likely to be a lot of rain in a short period of time.

“It looks to be kind of a longer duration thing: cloudy skies and occasional periods of rain,” Lewis said.

The surf in Southern California is also not expected to be anywhere near as dramatic as the Oregon coast, where a high surf warning predicts breaking waves between 25 and 30 feet. Sea conditions were hazardous for small boats Tuesday afternoon, but there were no high surf advisories issued for the coast.

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