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Will Dallas-Fort Worth have a sweltering summer after getting record hot days this early?

In World
February 29, 2024

Two months into the new year and Dallas-Fort Worth has had to sweat out record hot days. But does this portend a sweltering summer season?

Not quite, said Jennifer Dunn, warning coordination meteorologist at the NWS Fort Worth office, explaining that a direct correlation can’t be made between the early arrival of 90-degree days and how hot the summer might be,

“History and climatology shows us that however early we do reach that 90 degree, it doesn’t necessarily back up with what we’ll look like over the summer,” Dunn told the Star-Telegram.

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What the NWS can forecast for North Texas this summer is weather that will more than likely top 100 degrees, she said.

“Now, how hot [is it going to be]? Are we going to have a stream of 100-degree days? It’s possible,” she added.

But knowing for certain will take time. In the weeks and months leading up to summer, the weather service will have a better sense of how hot it’ll be.

“Hopefully it’s good news for us since we know that there isn’t a direct correlation,” Dunn said.

What’s the earliest Dallas-Fort Worth has seen 90 degrees?

North Texas recorded 94 degrees on Monday, which is good for seventh all-time on the weather service historical database.

The earliest Dallas-Fort Worth has recorded 90 degrees is on Jan. 31, which occurred in 1911 when the temperature hit 93 degrees. Here’s when Dallas-Fort Worth saw the earliest 90-degree day in Fe:

  • February 21, 2023 at 90 degrees

  • February 21, 1996 at 95 degrees

  • February 24, 1918 at 93 degrees

  • February 25, 1917 at 93 degrees

  • February 25, 1904 at 96 degrees

  • February 26, 2024 at 94 degrees

How do those years compare in number of 100-degree days?

Like Dunn said, there isn’t a direct correlation between how early in a year the region records a 90-degree day and how hot the summer will be.

By looking at Dallas-Fort Worth weather data, here’s how the same years mentioned above fared when it comes to number of 100 degree days in a year:

  • 1911- 27 days

  • 2023- 55 days

  • 1996- 13 days

  • 1918- 20 days

  • 1917- 15 days

  • 1904- 1 day

In comparison, here’s the greatest annual list of 100-degree days in a year:

  • 71 days- 2011

  • 69 days- 1980

  • 56 days- 1998

  • 55 days- 2023

  • 52 days- 1954

  • 48 days- 1956

  • 47 days- 2022

  • 46 days- 2000

  • 44 days- 1952

  • 43 days- 2006

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