Market Digest: JBL, MCK, ES, HPE, SOLV

Summary

Monday Tee Up: Inflation and GDP There are no summer doldrums on Wall Street this week. Key inflation data is pending as is the latest GDP data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended last week higher by 1.5%, the S&P 500 gained 0.6%, and the Nasdaq was flat. For the year, the Dow is higher by 4%, the S&P is up 15%, and the Nasdaq has popped 18%. On the economic calendar, Tuesday features the Case-Shiller Home Price Index and Consumer Confidence. On Wednesday, New Home Sales come out. On Thursday, GDP and Durable Goods Orders will be reported. But the big day is Friday when PCE, the Fed’s favorite inflation indicator, comes out. In April, PCE printed at 2.7% and core PCE was 2.8%. For May, we forecast both PCE and core PCE will dropped down to 2.6%. Friday also beings updates on Personal Income, Personal Spending, and Consumer Sentiment. At least seven Fed officials have public speaking engagements this week. On the earnings calendar, Fedex and Carnival reported on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Micron Technology, General Mills, Paychex, Jefferies, and Levi Strauss. And on Thursday, Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance, and McCormick step up to the plate. Overall earnings for 1Q came in 8% higher than in the same quarter last year. That’s better than was expected before reporting season started. For 2024 in total, we forecast a 9.5% gain in earnings. Second-quarter earnings season kicks off on Friday, July 12, with the big banks. Last week, mortgage rates dipped further below the 7% mark, dropping to 6.87% for the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. Gas prices are still at $3.43 per gallon for the average price

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